Can numbers tell us if any of the parties engaged in ballot stuffing? In the 2014 Romanian presidential elections, about 10 percent of those who went to the polls within Romania did so “on supplementary lists”, i.e., at another precinct than the one t... Citește mai mult
Known knowns and known unknowns During the first round of the 2014 presidential elections, 965,022 citizens – 10.09% of those who cast their ballots inside the country – voted at a different polling station than the one they were assigned to b... Citește mai mult
We started this investigation with two main questions: Is there anything seemingly aberrant about the temporary votes cast in the 2014 election, something that might point to ballot-stuffing? Does the data support the idea that either of the two main cand... Citește mai mult
In the previous section, we used a regression analysis to try to find any suspect patterns in how the supplementary lists impacted the vote share of Victor Ponta and Klaus Iohannis. We also found a few precincts where our model’s prediction falls fa... Citește mai mult
So far in our statistical investigation we have looked at the numbers from various angles, without finding any real evidence for widespread ballot stuffing by one side or the other, via the supplementary lists. As they say, though, if you torture the data... Citește mai mult
We waded into the murky waters of electoral statistics in order to figure out whether we can prove anything suspect is going on with the vote on the supplementary list. We wanted to find out the following: Is there any evidence of a systematic, atypical p... Citește mai mult
